Singapore REIT Industry

A Sombre Year for S-REITS
In 2008, one new REIT was listed, bringing the number of listed Singapore real estate investment trusts (S-REITs) to 21. The total market capitalisation of S-REITs shrank by 53.7% to about $12.9 billion from $27.7 billion in the previous year, as the fourth quarter capped off a sombre year for global equity markets and the S-REIT sector. In a comparison of annual total returns of Asian REITs, losses in the REIT market ranged from 14.8% in Malaysia to 56.1% in Singapore in 2008.

The Singapore stock market ended the year down 49.2% while the S-REIT index fell 59.0% on concerns of refinancing risks and softening rentals. Investors were also wary of REITs that might embark on capital raisings. Due to higher perceived risks, REITs with foreign-based assets and limited sponsorship bore the brunt of the sell-off.

With the broad market sell-off and sector re-rating, the average distribution yield of S-REITs increased to 12.0% as at end-2008 from 4.3% as at end-2007. This was 9.9 percentage points above the 10-year government bond yield of about 2.1%, compared attractively with the average yield gap of 2.6 percentage points since January 2003 and a yield gap of 4.4 percentage points during the previous downturn in first half of 2003.

S-REITs are also trading at vast discounts to their net asset value (NAV). The weighted average discount to NAV is steepest for office REITs at 68.3% versus 53.0% for hospitality REITs, 45.0% for retail REITs and 37.9% for industrial REITs as at 31 December 2008.

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